By Ron Borges
With three weeks left in the regular season I’m finally getting the hang of this.
Went 4-2 last week to get to a .333 betting average. If I was a DH I’d be headed to the Hall of Fame. Hit a third of the time in Vegas and they send you home without your clothes.
Still, much ground can be made up and much money made with a hot finish and this week’s lineup of games has the kind of odd numbers that could allow you to make up ground in a hurry. Unless, of course, you’ve been going the other way against me. In that case, you’re probably going to Bimini for Christmas vacation.
Conventional wisdom this week says go with the Patriots, Buccaneers, Packers, Steelers, Vikings and Cowboys. I say do so at your peril.
This time of year stay away from bad teams playing bad teams because you never know which one of them is ready to quit. Stay on top of the weather because a blizzard or frigid temperatures can even out an other wise blow out situation. And stay within your budget because there’s no bailout for sub-prime gambling.
Most importantly, stay away from the Miami Dolphins. They’re not 0-13 for nothing. Then again, they have a better record (3-7-3) against the spread than the Ravens (2-10-1), who they will take on Sunday afternoon in
1. Buffalo + 5 ½ @ CLEVELAND – The Bills have quietly become a solid team and they have two healthy running backs now to send at a Cleveland defense giving up 130.5 rushing yards a game. They’re also 5-1 with rookie QB Trent Edwards under center and if you’re from a city as bleak as
NEARLY 50-50 CHANCE MEANS YOU LOSE THE VIG
3. Atlanta + 13 ½ @ TAMPA BAY – Their quarterback has been sentenced to jail and their head coach has been sentenced to Arkansas after quitting on the Falcons with three games to go to flee to college football. Many Falcons will want to prove they’re better without Bobby Petrino and will work hard to do it. If they have any pride at all, the FALCONS cover.
THIS IS WHY THEY CALL IT GAMBLING
6. NY Jets + 23 @
Last week: 4-2
Record to date: 12-24
Upset special: 3-3.